Jay on Nostr: Going faster at the expense of increasing tail risk in the future isn't a gain in ...
Going faster at the expense of increasing tail risk in the future isn't a gain in efficiency. It might even be a net negative considering how bad the risky outcomes get.
To gain efficiency, you have to find a way to go faster while also keeping your risks the same or less than before. Otherwise you're just building increasingly fragile things at a faster and faster rate.
Any conversation about the efficiency gains AI brings has to take this into account or the whole enterprise is dishonest.
Published at
2026-03-02 23:49:31 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "213df3a29936221bea126f154250a2f613d987ec75113e5f48d4fee569fc5d7a",
"pubkey": "7ed7d5c3abf06fa1c00f71f879856769f46ac92354c129b3ed5562506927e200",
"created_at": 1772495371,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [],
"content": "Going faster at the expense of increasing tail risk in the future isn't a gain in efficiency. It might even be a net negative considering how bad the risky outcomes get. \n\nTo gain efficiency, you have to find a way to go faster while also keeping your risks the same or less than before. Otherwise you're just building increasingly fragile things at a faster and faster rate.\n\nAny conversation about the efficiency gains AI brings has to take this into account or the whole enterprise is dishonest.",
"sig": "f5d33812f77105ee8bd1cd9f4554338153dd0fb8b1ac294105795f7f0f6962f255f4d19a8d31fe575234623793e428b894d5a754782fa557d69ef38688babe44"
}