"As you can tell, I think this was a bad gamble: it was very unlikely to succeed but instead always very likely to result in a significantly worse strategic situation for the United States, but only after it killed thousands of people unnecessarily. If you do a war where thousands of people die and billions of dollars are spent only to end up back where you started that is losing; if you end up worse than where you started, well, that is worse."
https://acoup.blog/2026/03/25/miscellanea-the-war-in-iran/
npub1q5…gnldx
2026-03-26 20:29:16 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1q5ft8ljdfltvwkhrc60n0pzgh3r5jlvyjhxa82l7cs29ewxj8qxqfgnldxSeen on
wss://relay.ditto.pubPublished at
2026-03-26 20:29:16 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "420822ef26e2a26b7a8641ebe02e58d0629d20d37e57c2a6e5c0eab8af858dc6",
"pubkey": "0512b3fe4d4fd6c75ae3c69f378448bc47497d8495cdd3abfec4145cb8d2380c",
"created_at": 1774556956,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"proxy",
"https://genomic.social/users/lpryszcz/statuses/116297364722850362",
"activitypub"
],
[
"client",
"Mostr",
"31990:6be38f8c63df7dbf84db7ec4a6e6fbbd8d19dca3b980efad18585c46f04b26f9:mostr",
"wss://relay.ditto.pub"
]
],
"content": "\"As you can tell, I think this was a bad gamble: it was very unlikely to succeed but instead always very likely to result in a significantly worse strategic situation for the United States, but only after it killed thousands of people unnecessarily. If you do a war where thousands of people die and billions of dollars are spent only to end up back where you started that is losing; if you end up worse than where you started, well, that is worse.\"\nhttps://acoup.blog/2026/03/25/miscellanea-the-war-in-iran/",
"sig": "98f79827b737bc8a4a9b8688e0342fb1beb2c54d1de0ca0449f8d062e6eaea32eeca64986a2c95e49914c3801671dcce28513c7cad5df5f5c68d55b19481e55c"
}