Bitcoin reached an intraday high of $81,377 on September 18, putting the $84,000 target within relatively easy reach. Myriad Markets traders assigned an 84% probability to Bitcoin reaching $84,000 before dropping to $55,000, based on a contract using Binance BTC/USDT spot data. The market had $242,000 in volume.
Confidence fades sharply at higher targets. Polymarket priced Bitcoin at an 80% chance of reaching $85,000 before the end of 2026, 59% for $90,000, and only 25% for $100,000. Its odds for $150,000 were 2%, while Kalshi also gave Bitcoin a 25% chance of crossing $100,000 before January 2027. The figures matter because they show prediction-market traders expect a near-term test of $84,000 but remain skeptical that Bitcoin will reach six figures this year.
https://news.bitcoin.com/price-predictions/bitcoin-price-predictions-draw-a-brutal-line-between-84k-and-100k/
oxhak / Ox HaK
npub1sx…dz7z7
2026-09-19 01:35:39 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1sxexewvzysc3affq4yzzh7w8e3udyujap2vlj7t6lkdg5dvhp24q4dz7z7Seen on
wss://nostr.momPublished at
2026-09-19 01:35:39 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "Bitcoin reached an intraday high of $81,377 on September 18, putting the $84,000 target within relatively easy reach. Myriad Markets traders assigned an 84% probability to Bitcoin reaching $84,000 before dropping to $55,000, based on a contract using Binance BTC/USDT spot data. The market had $242,000 in volume.\n\nConfidence fades sharply at higher targets. Polymarket priced Bitcoin at an 80% chance of reaching $85,000 before the end of 2026, 59% for $90,000, and only 25% for $100,000. Its odds for $150,000 were 2%, while Kalshi also gave Bitcoin a 25% chance of crossing $100,000 before January 2027. The figures matter because they show prediction-market traders expect a near-term test of $84,000 but remain skeptical that Bitcoin will reach six figures this year.\n\nhttps://news.bitcoin.com/price-predictions/bitcoin-price-predictions-draw-a-brutal-line-between-84k-and-100k/",
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