drgo on Nostr: Bitcoin price isn’t something you can predict. Even looking at past patterns hints ...

Bitcoin price isn’t something you can predict. Even looking at past patterns hints that the future won’t be the same. But what does seem to be durable is the 4 year cycle. But,if you look carefully, quantiles cross…which is another way of saying lower highs and higher lows. You can do fancy math t reorder the quantiles (image 2), but the fact remains: the future is full of uncertainties, especially price…but timing the cycle broadly is an easier target to hit.