WarMonitor on Nostr: Polymarket traders are currently pricing a 65% chance that the Israel-Iran ceasefire ...
Polymarket traders are currently pricing a 65% chance that the Israel-Iran ceasefire will remain in place through December 31, up about 5 percentage points over the past day.
The market has seen more than $30 million in total trading volume, with the contract currently trading around 64 to 65 cents.
Israel remaining out of direct renewed hostilities with Iran so far may be contributing to the recent increase in the longer-term probability.
Published at
2026-09-16 17:34:02 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "Polymarket traders are currently pricing a 65% chance that the Israel-Iran ceasefire will remain in place through December 31, up about 5 percentage points over the past day.\n\nThe market has seen more than $30 million in total trading volume, with the contract currently trading around 64 to 65 cents.\n\nIsrael remaining out of direct renewed hostilities with Iran so far may be contributing to the recent increase in the longer-term probability.\nhttps://blossom.primal.net/20c3344ab47ad35bba93e95af99a0e80beffeb4fbebfe533cb0c25a2a74accaf.jpg",
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