IMO, 'fail' is a bit loaded in this context. The ability for even a small minority to fork off out of a perceived existential necessity is absolutely vital to the health of bitcoin overall. (though, I'm not convinced such a necessity is actually being perceived by most bip110 supporters)
That being said, if bip110 were to split off with say 5% of the hash rate, I find it hard to imagine them being satisfied with the corresponding 200-minute block times until they finally reached their first difficulty adjustment ~40 weeks later. I think it's much more likely in such a scenario that they would just pivot to a hard fork instead in order to adjust the difficulty right off the bat (which would then fairly be viewed as a failed soft fork attempt).
Judge Hardcase
npub1k7…x7ehv
2026-07-14 10:02:04 UTC
in reply to nevent1q…kspy
Author Public Key
npub1k7v6uflqxu9js45e8ek53u2azefe6j49r7lna0da90zq7c9y6f0q8x7ehvSeen on
wss://relay.wisp.talkPublished at
2026-07-14 10:02:04 UTCEvent JSON
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