The next most popular BIP-110 PREDYX market assumes the softfork will cause a chain split and prices the probability of the token created by the chain split being listed on a major centralized exchange by the end of the year.
16% chance.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bip-110-chain-token-on-major-cex-by-end-of-2026-1772033542?ref=8c9fd5fe3d08c875&shareOg=3f76b1a2-2d6b-4ae3-b4d3-01ace68bdfad&shareKind=market